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  1. Abstract

    Studies along elevational gradients worldwide usually find the highest plant taxa richness in mid-elevation forest belts. Hence, an increase in upper elevation diversity is expected in the course of warming-related treeline rise. Here, we use a time-series approach to infer past taxa richness from sedimentary ancient DNA from the south-eastern Tibetan Plateau over the last ~18,000 years. We find the highest total plant taxa richness during the cool phase after glacier retreat when the area contained extensive and diverse alpine habitats (14–10 ka); followed by a decline when forests expanded during the warm early- to mid-Holocene (10–3.6 ka). Livestock grazing since 3.6 ka promoted plant taxa richness only weakly. Based on these inferred dependencies, our simulation yields a substantive decrease in plant taxa richness in response to warming-related alpine habitat loss over the next centuries. Accordingly, efforts of Tibetan biodiversity conservation should include conclusions from palaeoecological evidence.

     
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  2. Ant–plant interactions are diverse and abundant and include classic models in the study of mutualism and other biotic interactions. By estimating a time-scaled phylogeny of more than 1,700 ant species and a time-scaled phylogeny of more than 10,000 plant genera, we infer when and how interactions between ants and plants evolved and assess their macroevolutionary consequences. We estimate that ant–plant interactions originated in the Mesozoic, when predatory, ground-inhabiting ants first began foraging arboreally. This served as an evolutionary precursor to the use of plant-derived food sources, a dietary transition that likely preceded the evolution of extrafloral nectaries and elaiosomes. Transitions to a strict, plant-derived diet occurred in the Cenozoic, and optimal models of shifts between strict predation and herbivory include omnivory as an intermediate step. Arboreal nesting largely evolved from arboreally foraging lineages relying on a partially or entirely plant-based diet, and was initiated in the Mesozoic, preceding the evolution of domatia. Previous work has suggested enhanced diversification in plants with specialized ant-associated traits, but it appears that for ants, living and feeding on plants does not affect ant diversification. Together, the evidence suggests that ants and plants increasingly relied on one another and incrementally evolved more intricate associations with different macroevolutionary consequences as angiosperms increased their ecological dominance.

     
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  3. Summary

    Leaf reflectance spectroscopy is emerging as an effective tool for assessing plant diversity and function. However, the ability of leaf spectra to detect fine‐scale plant evolutionary diversity in complicated biological scenarios is not well understood.

    We test if reflectance spectra (400–2400 nm) can distinguish species and detect fine‐scale population structure and phylogenetic divergence – estimated from genomic data – in two co‐occurring, hybridizing, ecotypically differentiated species ofDryas. We also analyze the correlation among taxonomically diagnostic leaf traits to understand the challenges hybrids pose to classification models based on leaf spectra.

    Classification models based on leaf spectra identified two species ofDryaswith 99.7% overall accuracy and genetic populations with 98.9% overall accuracy. All regions of the spectrum carried significant phylogenetic signal. Hybrids were classified with an average overall accuracy of 80%, and our morphological analysis revealed weak trait correlations within hybrids compared to parent species.

    Reflectance spectra captured genetic variation and accurately distinguished fine‐scale population structure and hybrids of morphologically similar, closely related species growing in their home environment. Our findings suggest that fine‐scale evolutionary diversity is captured by reflectance spectra and should be considered as spectrally‐based biodiversity assessments become more prevalent.

     
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  4. Abstract

    Phylogenetic studies of geographic range evolution are increasingly using statistical model selection methods to choose among variants of the dispersal‐extinction‐cladogenesis (DEC) model, especially betweenDECandDEC+J, a variant that emphasizes “jump dispersal,” or founder‐event speciation, as a type of cladogenetic range inheritance scenario. Unfortunately,DEC+J is a poor model of founder‐event speciation, and statistical comparisons of its likelihood withDECare inappropriate.DECandDEC+J share a conceptual flaw: cladogenetic events of range inheritance at ancestral nodes, unlike anagenetic events of dispersal and local extinction along branches, are not modelled as being probabilistic with respect to time. Ignoring this probability factor artificially inflates the contribution of cladogenetic events to the likelihood, and leads to underestimates of anagenetic, time‐dependent range evolution. The flaw is exacerbated inDEC+J because not only is jump dispersal allowed, expanding the set of cladogenetic events, its probability relative to non‐jump events is assigned a free parameter,j, that when maximized precludes the possibility of non‐jump events at ancestral nodes.DEC+J thus parameterizes themodeof speciation, but likeDEC, it does not parameterize therateof speciation. This inconsistency has undesirable consequences, such as a greater tendency towards degenerate inferences in which the data are explained entirely by cladogenetic events (at which point branch lengths become irrelevant, with estimated anagenetic rates of 0). Inferences withDEC+J can in some cases depart dramatically from intuition, e.g. when highly unparsimonious numbers of jump dispersal events are required solely becausejis maximized. Statistical comparison withDECis inappropriate because a higherDEC+J likelihood does not reflect a more close approximation of the “true” model of range evolution, which surely must include time‐dependent processes; instead, it is simply due to more weight being allocated (viaj) to jump dispersal events whose time‐dependent probabilities are ignored. In testing hypotheses about the geographic mode of speciation, jump dispersal can and should instead be modelled using existing frameworks for state‐dependent lineage diversification in continuous time, taking appropriate cautions against Type I errors associated with such methods. For simple inference of ancestral ranges on a fixed phylogeny, aDEC‐based model may be defensible if statistical model selection is not used to justify the choice, and it is understood that inferences about cladogenetic range inheritance lack any relation to time, normally a fundamental axis of evolutionary models.

     
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  5. Summary

    Identifying the contours and correlates of species turnover is central to understanding the nature of biogeographical regions. The Hengduan Mountains region of south‐central China (HMR) is well known for its high diversity of plants, but its boundaries and internal floristic structure are poorly understood, especially in relation to geographical and environmental factors.

    With data on occurrences and elevational ranges of seed plants across the HMR and adjacent areas of the greater Qinghai‐Tibet Plateau, we identified motifs (distinct species assemblages) by Grade of Membership models, and characterized relative contributions of geography, elevation, and climate to their spatial patterns.

    Motifs segregate primarily by latitude, elevation, and correlated environmental variables, most sharply across the tropical‐temperate divide. Secondarily, they segregate by longitude and geographical features, and reveal a novel divide across the Jinsha River. A core set of motifs corresponds to previous delineations of the HMR.

    The HMR biodiversity hotspot is more a mosaic of floristic elements than a cohesive entity. Grade of Membership models effectively reveal the geographical contours of biotic structure, and are a valuable new tool for biogeographical analysis.

     
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